Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
Conference USA
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#138
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#171
Pace67.6#165
Improvement+1.9#88

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#121
Improvement+3.0#42

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#160
Improvement-1.1#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 245   @ Campbell L 74-76 64%     0 - 1 -3.4 -8.4 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2011 255   Appalachian St. W 67-47 77%     1 - 1 +14.4 -7.4 +22.3
  Nov 29, 2011 107   @ Old Dominion L 58-63 30%     1 - 2 +2.6 -5.7 +8.1
  Dec 03, 2011 151   Charlotte L 64-76 67%     1 - 3 -14.1 -9.7 -4.0
  Dec 06, 2011 78   Massachusetts L 58-63 47%     1 - 4 -2.0 -16.7 +15.0
  Dec 16, 2011 284   @ UNC Greensboro W 71-62 72%     2 - 4 +5.3 -9.0 +13.6
  Dec 19, 2011 206   Coastal Carolina W 76-51 77%     3 - 4 +19.5 +4.5 +16.6
  Dec 22, 2011 273   Gardner-Webb W 69-55 87%     4 - 4 +4.2 -6.5 +10.7
  Dec 29, 2011 222   NC Central W 84-76 80%     5 - 4 +1.3 +9.3 -8.0
  Jan 04, 2012 69   @ Southern Miss L 76-78 22%     5 - 5 0 - 1 +8.4 +7.5 +0.9
  Jan 07, 2012 93   Central Florida L 63-81 51%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -16.0 -9.0 -7.0
  Jan 14, 2012 94   Tulsa L 67-70 52%     5 - 7 0 - 3 -1.2 +0.2 -1.6
  Jan 18, 2012 131   @ UTEP L 56-70 36%     5 - 8 0 - 4 -8.1 -4.0 -6.3
  Jan 21, 2012 182   @ Houston L 76-82 49%     5 - 9 0 - 5 -3.5 -4.8 +1.8
  Jan 25, 2012 69   Southern Miss L 60-72 45%     5 - 10 0 - 6 -8.4 -10.5 +1.7
  Jan 28, 2012 124   @ UAB W 73-66 35%     6 - 10 1 - 6 +13.4 +22.9 -7.8
  Feb 01, 2012 181   SMU W 62-43 73%     7 - 10 2 - 6 +14.7 +8.3 +12.3
  Feb 04, 2012 145   Rice W 82-68 65%     8 - 10 3 - 6 +12.2 +3.5 +7.6
  Feb 08, 2012 10   Memphis L 59-70 19%     8 - 11 3 - 7 +0.7 -8.6 +9.2
  Feb 11, 2012 76   @ Marshall L 68-78 23%     8 - 12 3 - 8 +0.1 +14.1 -16.3
  Feb 18, 2012 93   @ Central Florida L 55-64 27%     8 - 13 3 - 9 -0.2 -8.4 +7.3
  Feb 22, 2012 10   @ Memphis L 47-70 7%     8 - 14 3 - 10 -4.5 -18.3 +14.2
  Feb 25, 2012 124   UAB L 57-61 60%     8 - 15 3 - 11 -4.4 -4.8 -0.3
  Feb 29, 2012 76   Marshall W 69-68 OT 46%     9 - 15 4 - 11 +4.3 -2.5 +6.8
  Mar 03, 2012 186   @ Tulane W 66-49 51%     10 - 15 5 - 11 +19.1 +5.0 +16.4
  Mar 07, 2012 145   Rice W 68-66 53%     11 - 15 +3.6 +1.7 +2.0
  Mar 08, 2012 69   Southern Miss L 78-81 OT 32%     11 - 16 +4.0 +3.5 +0.6
Projected Record 11.0 - 16.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%